Publications

Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

Forthcoming. “Democracy, Inequality, and Antitrust” (with Michael O. Allen and David Stasavage). Journal of Politics.

Forthcoming. “Testing the Compensatory Theory: A Survey Experiment on Covid-19 and Redistributive Preferences in the UK” (with Mariana Alvarado, Pablo Querubin, and David Stasavage). Journal of Politics.

2025. “Compensation, Beliefs in State Intervention, and Support for the Energy Transition” (with Isabela Mares and Christina Toenshoff). Comparative Political Studies.

2025. “Learning to Love Government? Technological Change and the Political Economy of Higher Education” (with Carlos Lastra-Anadon and David Stasavage). Journal of Politics.

2024. “Trains, Trade, and Transformation: A Spatial Rogowski Theory of America’s 19th Century Protectionism” (with Theo Serlin). American Journal of Political Science.

2023. “Measuring time preferences in large surveys” (with Michael Bechtel, Amalie Jensen, and Jordan McAllister). Political Science Research and Methods. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2023. “The German Trade Shock and the Rise of the Neo-Welfare State in Early Twentieth-Century Britain” (with Theo Serlin). American Political Science Review 117 (2): 557-574. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2023. “Foundations of a New Democracy: Schooling, Inequality, and Voting in the Early Republic” (with Tine Paulsen and David Stasavage). American Political Science Review 117 (2): 518-536. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2022. “Improving Public Support for Climate Action Through Multilateralism” (with Michael Bechtel and Elisabeth van Lieshout). Nature Communications 31:6441. [Replication archive] [Replication archive]

2022. “Equal Treatment and the Inelasticity of Tax Policy to Rising Inequality” (with David Stasavage). Comparative Political Studies 56 (4): 435-464. [Online appendix]

2022. “Sustaining Capitalism and Democracy: Lessons from Global Competition Policy” (with Michael O. Allen). International Studies Review 24 (2). [Replication archive]

2021. “The Economic Origins of Authoritarian Values: Evidence from Local Trade Shocks in the United Kingdom” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa, Mashail Malik, and Stephanie Rickard). Comparative Political Studies 54 (13): 2321-2353. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2021. “Economic Decline, Social Identity, and Authoritarian Values in the United States” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa and Amalie Jensen). International Studies Quarterly 66 (1). [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2021. “City Limits to Partisan Polarization in the American Public” (with Amalie Jensen, William Marble, and Matthew J. Slaughter). Political Science Research & Methods 9 (2): 223-241. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2020. “Constant carbon pricing increases support for climate action compared to ramping up costs over time” (with Michael Bechtel and Elisabeth van Lieshout). Nature Climate Change 10: 1004-1009. [Replication archive] [Supplementary Materials]

2018. “Inequality and Redistribution Behavior in a Give-or-Take Game” (with Michael Bechtel and Roman Liesch). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (14): 3611-3616. [Replication archive] [Online Supporting Information]

2017. “Who Cooperates? Reciprocity and the Causal Effect of Expected Cooperation in Representative Samples” (with Michael M. Bechtel). Journal of Experimental Political Science 4 (3): 206-228. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2017. “Interests, Norms, and Support for the Provision of  Global Public Goods: the Case of Climate Co-operation” (with Michael M. Bechtel and Federica Genovese). British Journal of Political Science 49 (4): 1333-1355. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2017. “The Structure of American Income Tax Policy Preferences” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa and Lucy Martin). Journal of Politics 79 (1): 1-16. [Replication archive] [Supplementary materials]

2016. “Self-Centered Inequity Aversion and the Mass Politics of Taxation” (with Xiaobo Lu). Comparative Political Studies 49 (14): 1965-1997. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2014. “Technology and the Era of the Mass Army” (with Massimiliano Onorato and David Stasavage). Journal of Economic History 74 (2): 449-481. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2013. “Mass support for global climate agreements depends on institutional design” (with Michael Bechtel). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (34): 13763-13768. [Replication archive] [Online supporting information] Video summarizing our findings.

2012. “Inequity Aversion and the International Distribution of Trade Protection” (with Xiaobo Lu and Matthew Slaughter). American Journal of Political Science 56 (3): 638-655. This paper was originally entitled “Envy, Altruism, and the International Distribution of Trade Protection” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #15700. [Replication archive] [Online supporting information]

2012. “Democracy, War, and Wealth: Evidence from Two Centuries of Inheritance Taxation” (with David Stasavage). American Political Science Review 106 (1): 82-102. [Replication archive] [Supplementary materials]

2010. “The Conscription of Wealth: Mass Warfare and the Demand for Progressive Taxation” (with David Stasavage). International Organization 64 (4): 529-561. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2010. “Social Identity, Electoral Institutions, and the Number of Candidates” (with Eric Dickson). British Journal of Political Science 40 (2): 349-375. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2009. “Institutions, Partisanship, and Inequality in the Long Run” (with David Stasavage). World Politics 61 (2): 215-53. [Replication archive] [Online appendix]

2007. “Estimating the Effect of Elite Communications on Public Opinion Using Instrumental Variables” (with Matthew Gabel). American Journal of Political Science 51 (4): 1013-1028. [Replication archive]

2007. “Public Finance and Individual Preferences over Globalization Strategies” (with Gordon H. Hanson and Matthew J. Slaughter). Economics and Politics 19 (1): 1-33. [Replication archive]

2007. “Mixed Messages: Party Dissent and Mass Opinion on European Integration” (with Matthew Gabel). European Union Politics 8 (1): 37-59.

2006. “The Political Economy of Religion and Social Insurance in the United States, 1910-1939” (with David Stasavage). Studies in American Political Development 20 (2): 132-159.

2006. “Religion and Preferences for Social Insurance” (with David Stasavage). Quarterly Journal of Political Science 1 (3): 255-286. [Replication archive]

2006. “Social Identity, Political Speech, and Electoral Competition” (with Eric Dickson). Journal of Theoretical Politics 18 (1): 5-39.

2004. “Economic Insecurity and the Globalization of Production” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). American Journal of Political Science 48 (4): 662-674. Reprinted in David R. Cameron, Gustav Ranis, and Annalisa Zinn (eds.), Globalization and Self-Determination, New York: Routledge, 2006. [Replication archive]

2004. “Public Inflation Aversion and the Political Economy of Macroeconomic Policymaking.” International Organization 58 (1): 1-34.

2001. “What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences?” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Journal of International Economics 54 (2): 267-292. [Online appendix]

2001. “Analyzing Incomplete Political Science Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation” (with Gary King, James Honaker, and Anne Joseph). American Political Science Review 95 (1): 49-69.

2001. “Labor Market Competition and Individual Preferences Over Immigration Policy” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). The Review of Economics and Statistics 83 (1): 133-145.

1999. “Electoral Surprise and the Midterm Loss in US Congressional Elections” (with Michael Tomz). British Journal of Political Science 29 (3): 507-521.

1998. “Interstate Competition and Welfare Policy” (with Mark C. Rom and Paul E. Peterson). Publius: The Journal of Federalism 28 (3): 17-37. This article is also published in Sanford F. Schram and Samuel H. Beer (eds.), Welfare Reform: A Race to the Bottom?. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999, pp. 21-42.

Books

2016. Taxing the Rich: A History of Fiscal Fairness in the United States and Europe (with David Stasavage).

2001. Globalization and the Perceptions of American Workers (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Washington D.C.: Institute for International Economics.

Selected Other Publications

2018. “How to Save Globalization” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Foreign Affairs. November/December, pp. 98-108.

2017. “Wealth Inequality and Democracy” (with David Stasavage). Annual Review of Political Science 20:24.1-24.18.

2013. “Is the Estate Tax Doomed?” (with David Stasavage). New York Times March 24th.

2007. “A New Deal for Globalization” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Foreign Affairs July/August, pp. 34-47.