Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
2022. “The German Trade Shock and the Rise of the Neo-Welfare State in Early Twentieth-Century Britain” (with Theo Serlin). American Political Science Review.
Forthcoming. “Foundations of a New Democracy: Schooling, Inequality, and Voting in the Early Republic” (with Tine Paulsen and David Stasavage). American Political Science Review.
2022. “Equal Treatment and the Inelasticity of Tax Policy to Rising Inequality” (with David Stasavage). Comparative Political Studies.
2022. “Sustaining Capitalism and Democracy: Lessons from Global Competition Policy” (with Michael O. Allen). International Studies Review.
2021. “The Economic Origins of Authoritarian Values: Evidence from Local Trade Shocks in the United Kingdom” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa, Mashail Malik, and Stephanie Rickard). Comparative Political Studies.
2021. “Economic Decline, Social Identity, and Authoritarian Values in the United States” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa and Amalie Jensen). International Studies Quarterly.
2021. “City Limits to Partisan Polarization in the American Public” (with Amalie Jensen, William Marble, and Matthew J. Slaughter). Political Science Research & Methods.
2020. “Constant carbon pricing increases support for climate action compared to ramping up costs over time” (with Michael Bechtel and Elisabeth van Lieshout). Nature Climate Change. Supplementary Materials.
2018. “Inequality and Redistribution Behavior in a Give-or-Take Game” (with Michael Bechtel and Roman Liesch). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Online Supporting Information
2017. “Who Cooperates? Reciprocity and the Causal Effect of Expected Cooperation in Representative Samples” (with Michael M. Bechtel). Journal of Experimental Political Science 4: 206-228.
2017. “Interests, Norms, and Support for the Provision of Global Public Goods: the Case of Climate Co-operation” (with Michael M. Bechtel and Federica Genovese). British Journal of Political Science. Online Appendix
2017. “The Structure of American Income Tax Policy Preferences” (with Cameron Ballard-Rosa and Lucy Martin). Journal of Politics Vol. 79 No. 1 (January): 1-16. Supplementary Materials
2016. “Self-Centered Inequity Aversion and the Mass Politics of Taxation” (with Xiaobo Lu). Comparative Political Studies Vol. 49 No. 14: 1965-1997. Online Appendix
2013. “Mass support for global climate agreements depends on institutional design” (with Michael Bechtel). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Online Supporting Information. Video summarizing our findings.
2012. “Inequity Aversion and the International Distribution of Trade Protection” (with Xiaobo Lu and Matthew Slaughter). American Journal of Political Science Vol. 56 No. 3 (July): 638-655. This paper was originally entitled “Envy, Altruism, and the International Distribution of Trade Protection” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #15700. Online Supporting Information
2012. “Democracy, War, and Wealth: Evidence from Two Centuries of Inheritance Taxation” (with David Stasavage). American Political Science Review Vol. 106 No. 1 (February): 82-102. Supplementary Materials
2010. “The Conscription of Wealth: Mass Warfare and the Demand for Progressive Taxation” (with David Stasavage). International Organization Vol. 64 (Fall): 529-61. Online Appendix
2010. “Social Identity, Electoral Institutions, and the Number of Candidates” (with Eric Dickson). British Journal of Political Science Vol. 40 No. 2: 349-375. Online Appendix
2009. “Institutions, Partisanship, and Inequality in the Long Run” (with David Stasavage). World Politics Vol. 61 No. 2 (April): 215-53. Online Appendix
2007. “Estimating the Effect of Elite Communications on Public Opinion Using Instrumental Variables” (with Matthew Gabel). American Journal of Political Science Vol. 51 No. 4 (October): 1013-1028.
2007. “Public Finance and Individual Preferences over Globalization Strategies” (with Gordon H. Hanson and Matthew J. Slaughter). Economics and Politics Vol. 19 No. 1 (March): 1-33.
2007. “Mixed Messages: Party Dissent and Mass Opinion on European Integration” (with Matthew Gabel). European Union Politics Vol. 8 No. 1: 37-59.
2006. “The Political Economy of Religion and Social Insurance in the United States, 1910-1939” (with David Stasavage). Studies in American Political Development Vol. 20 (Fall): 132-159.
2006. “Religion and Preferences for Social Insurance” (with David Stasavage). Quarterly Journal of Political Science Vol. 1 No. 3: 255-286.
2006. “Social Identity, Political Speech, and Electoral Competition” (with Eric Dickson). Journal of Theoretical Politics Vol. 18 No. 1: 5-39.
2004. “Economic Insecurity and the Globalization of Production” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). American Journal of Political Science Vol. 48 No. 4 (October): 662-674. Reprinted in David R. Cameron, Gustav Ranis, and Annalisa Zinn (eds.), Globalization and Self-Determination, New York: Routledge, 2006.
2004. “Public Inflation Aversion and the Political Economy of Macroeconomic Policymaking.” International Organization Vol. 58 No. 1 (Winter): 1-34.
2001. “What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences?” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Journal of International Economics Vol. 54 No. 2 (August): 267-292. Online Appendix
2001. “Analyzing Incomplete Political Science Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation” (with Gary King, James Honaker, and Anne Joseph). American Political Science Review Vol. 95 No. 1 (March): 49-69.
2001. “Labor Market Competition and Individual Preferences Over Immigration Policy” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 83 No. 1 (February): 133-145.
1999. “Electoral Surprise and the Midterm Loss in US Congressional Elections” (with Michael Tomz). British Journal of Political Science Vol. 29 (July): 507-521.
1998. “Interstate Competition and Welfare Policy” (with Mark C. Rom and Paul E. Peterson). Publius: The Journal of Federalism Vol. 28 No. 3 (Summer): 17-37. This article is also published in Sanford F. Schram and Samuel H. Beer (eds.), Welfare Reform: A Race to the Bottom?. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999, pp. 21-42.
2016. Taxing the Rich: A History of Fiscal Fairness in the United States and Europe (with David Stasavage).
2001. Globalization and the Perceptions of American Workers (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Washington D.C.: Institute for International Economics.
Selected Other Publications
2018. “How to Save Globalization” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Foreign Affairs. November/December, pp. 98-108.
2017. “Wealth Inequality and Democracy” (with David Stasavage). Annual Review of Political Science 20:24.1-24.18.
2013. “Is the Estate Tax Doomed?” (with David Stasavage). New York Times March 24th.
2007. “A New Deal for Globalization” (with Matthew J. Slaughter). Foreign Affairs July/August, pp. 34-47.